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Ballon d’Or Power Rankings 2026: Top 20 Favorites Ranked, Amazing Outcomes

Ballon d'Or Power Rankings 2026

The Ballon d’Or Power Rankings 2026 race has entered its most interesting stage. The 30-man shortlist is now official, the 2026 FIFA World Cup has been completed, and the biggest individual performances of the season can finally be judged together.

Unlike some previous years, there is no completely obvious winner. Harry Kane produced a remarkable scoring season for Bayern Munich, Lamine Yamal helped Spain win the World Cup while continuing to shine for Barcelona, Kylian Mbappé broke major scoring records, Rodri was named the World Cup’s best player, and several PSG stars built impressive trophy-winning cases. The defending Ballon d’Or winner, Ousmane Dembélé, also remains in contention.

The 2026 Ballon d’Or ceremony will take place on October 26 at the London Palladium, making this the final stretch of the race.

This article ranks the leading contenders based on a combination of individual statistics, major trophies, Champions League performances, domestic success, World Cup impact, consistency and influence in important matches.

It is important to remember that these are Ballon d’Or Power Rankings 2026, not the official voting results. The order can differ from the eventual final standings.

Ballon d’Or Power Rankings 2026: Top 20

RankPlayerClubCountryPositionKey 2025-26 AchievementBallon d’Or Case
1Harry KaneBayern MunichEnglandForward61 club goals, Bundesliga & DFB-PokalElite
2Lamine YamalBarcelonaSpainForwardLa Liga & World Cup winnerElite
3Kylian MbappéReal MadridFranceForwardWorld Cup Golden Boot, 42 club goalsElite
4RodriBarcelonaSpainMidfielderWorld Cup Golden BallVery Strong
5Khvicha KvaratskheliaPSGGeorgiaForwardChampions League winnerVery Strong
6Lionel MessiInter MiamiArgentinaForward8 World Cup goals, World Cup finalistStrong
7Fabián RuizPSGSpainMidfielderChampions League & World Cup winnerStrong
8Pau CubarsíBarcelonaSpainDefenderLa Liga & World Cup winnerStrong
9Ousmane DembéléPSGFranceForwardChampions League & Ligue 1 winnerStrong
10Michael OliseBayern MunichFranceForwardBundesliga & DFB-Pokal winnerStrong
11Erling HaalandManchester CityNorwayForward38 club goals, domestic doubleStrong
12Jude BellinghamReal MadridEnglandMidfielderOutstanding World CupStrong
13Vinícius JúniorReal MadridBrazilForward22 goals in 36 appearancesStrong
14Lautaro MartínezInter MilanArgentinaForwardMajor attacking influenceCompetitive
15Achraf HakimiPSGMoroccoDefenderChampions League winnerCompetitive
16VitinhaPSGPortugalMidfielderChampions League winnerCompetitive
17Declan RiceArsenalEnglandMidfielderPremier League winnerCompetitive
18MarquinhosPSGBrazilDefenderChampions League winnerOutside Chance
19Nuno MendesPSGPortugalDefenderChampions League winnerOutside Chance
20Bruno FernandesManchester UnitedPortugalMidfielderStrong individual campaignOutside Chance

The ranking reflects the strength of each player’s overall case rather than simply counting goals. That distinction matters because the 2026 race contains elite forwards, influential midfielders and defenders with major international achievements.

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Harry Kane – The Current Favorite

Harry Kane enters the final weeks of the Ballon d’Or race with arguably the strongest statistical case.

The England captain scored 61 goals in 51 matches for Bayern Munich during the 2025-26 season, according to recent Ballon d’Or assessments. He also helped Bayern win the Bundesliga and DFB-Pokal, giving his individual numbers the team success that was sometimes missing from his earlier Ballon d’Or campaigns.

Kane then added six goals at the 2026 World Cup as England reached their best tournament finish since 1966.

Why Kane is No. 1

His case is based on three major pillars:

  • Extraordinary goalscoring numbers
  • Domestic trophies with Bayern
  • Important contributions for England

The biggest question is whether his World Cup performance was strong enough compared with some of the other leading candidates.

Still, it is difficult to ignore 61 goals at club level.

Kane’s Ballon d’Or Case

CategoryAssessment
GoalsExceptional
Domestic successExcellent
Champions LeagueStrong
World CupStrong
ConsistencyExceptional
Big-game impactExcellent
Overall caseElite

Kane is currently the safest choice for the top position because his statistical output is almost impossible to overlook.

Lamine Yamal – The Biggest Threat to Kane

Lamine Yamal may have the strongest trophy-based argument in the entire race.

The Barcelona star helped Spain win the 2026 World Cup and also contributed to another successful domestic campaign with Barcelona. He finished the 2025-26 season with 24 goals and 18 assists across all competitions, according to The Independent’s assessment.

Yamal’s case is particularly impressive because of his age. At just 19, he has already become one of the most influential players in world football.

His 2026 campaign combines:

  • World Cup winner’s medal
  • Domestic success with Barcelona
  • Outstanding individual production
  • Major influence at international level
  • Continued development into a global superstar

The World Cup may ultimately be the deciding factor.

Yamal himself has argued that his World Cup and La Liga achievements give him a strong case against Mbappé.

Why Yamal Could Win

The Ballon d’Or is not simply a goalscoring award. A player who performs at the highest level while winning major trophies can build an extremely compelling case.

Yamal has done exactly that.

His biggest weakness is that Kane’s individual numbers are extraordinary, while Mbappé’s scoring record is also difficult to match.

Kylian Mbappé – The Goalscoring Machine

Kylian Mbappé is one of the most difficult players to leave out of the top three. His 2025-26 club campaign produced 42 goals in 44 appearances, while his World Cup campaign was even more spectacular. He won the Golden Boot and became the tournament’s all-time leading scorer.

There is, however, one major problem with his candidacy: trophies. Real Madrid finished the season without a major trophy, while France also fell short of winning the World Cup.

That does not erase Mbappé’s individual achievements, but it makes the comparison with Yamal, Kane and Rodri more complicated.

Mbappé’s Biggest Strengths

  • Exceptional goalscoring
  • World Cup Golden Boot
  • Record-breaking international scoring
  • Consistency at elite level
  • Outstanding individual quality

Biggest Weakness

The lack of major team trophies could cost him votes.

If voters place greater emphasis on individual statistics, Mbappé can win. If trophies and team achievements receive more weight, he may finish behind the leading candidates.

Rodri – The Midfielder Who Could Win It Again

Rodri’s Ballon d’Or case is completely different from Kane’s or Mbappé’s. He does not need to compete with them on goals.

Instead, his case is built around control, tactical importance and his performance for Spain at the World Cup. Rodri was named the World Cup Golden Ball winner, recognizing him as the tournament’s best player. He played a central role in Spain’s successful campaign. That achievement could have enormous significance in the voting.

Rodri has already won the Ballon d’Or, taking the 2024 award after Spain’s European Championship success. France Football’s official historical record lists Rodri as the 2024 winner. His challenge is that his domestic season was not as dominant as Kane’s. Still, a World Cup-winning midfielder who also wins the tournament’s best-player award cannot be dismissed.

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia – The Champions League Specialist

Khvicha Kvaratskhelia is one of the most intriguing candidates in the 2026 Ballon d’Or race. His strongest argument comes from PSG’s Champions League success.

According to Sports Illustrated’s latest ranking, Kvaratskhelia scored 19 goals and provided 11 assists during the 2025-26 season, while contributing 10 Champions League goals. His performances in the knockout rounds were particularly important.

The Georgian missed the World Cup because Georgia did not qualify, which is a significant disadvantage when compared with players such as Yamal, Kane, Mbappé and Rodri. But his club achievements remain outstanding.

Kvaratskhelia’s Case

FactorRating
Domestic performanceExcellent
Champions LeagueElite
GoalsExcellent
AssistsExcellent
World CupNo participation
Major trophiesExcellent
Overall caseVery Strong

A strong Champions League case could keep him near the top of the voting.

Lionel Messi – The Wild Card

At 39, Lionel Messi is still in the Ballon d’Or conversation. That alone says a lot. Messi scored eight goals at the 2026 World Cup and helped Argentina reach the final. His individual performances were strong enough to keep his ninth Ballon d’Or dream alive despite Argentina ultimately losing to Spain. The problem is obvious. Argentina did not win the tournament.

Messi also plays his club football outside Europe’s biggest domestic competitions, which makes his overall case more difficult compared with players competing in the Champions League. Nevertheless, a World Cup campaign of this quality means he cannot simply be ignored.

Fabián Ruiz – The Trophy Collector

Fabián Ruiz may not be the first name that comes to mind when discussing the Ballon d’Or.

However, his 2026 résumé is extraordinary. He is one of the few players with both a Champions League title and a World Cup title during the same award cycle. He also played a meaningful role in Spain’s World Cup run and PSG’s European triumph. His case is not based on spectacular scoring numbers.

Instead, it is based on:

  • Tactical influence
  • Midfield control
  • Major trophies
  • Champions League contribution
  • World Cup success

He remains a long shot, but he deserves to be considerably higher than a casual Ballon d’Or list might suggest.

Pau Cubarsí – The Defensive Dark Horse

Pau Cubarsí represents one of the most interesting possibilities in the 2026 rankings. Defenders rarely win the Ballon d’Or. Only a handful have done so, with Fabio Cannavaro the most recent defender to claim the award in 2006. Cubarsí’s case is therefore dependent on the strength of his international and club achievements.

He helped Spain win the World Cup and was also part of Barcelona’s successful domestic campaign. If voters want to reward defensive excellence and team success rather than simply goals, Cubarsí could make history.

Ousmane Dembélé – The Defending Champion

Ousmane Dembélé cannot be forgotten simply because the 2026 race has become crowded. He won the 2025 Ballon d’Or after an outstanding campaign with PSG. France Football’s official winners list confirms Dembélé as the 2025 men’s winner. He then remained part of another successful PSG season, including another Champions League triumph.

However, his World Cup campaign with France was not enough to push him into the very top tier this year. The biggest obstacle to a second consecutive award is the absence of a World Cup title with France.

Michael Olise – One of the Fastest Risers

Michael Olise has moved from promising talent to serious Ballon d’Or candidate. His 2025-26 season with Bayern was outstanding. Sports Illustrated reports that he scored 22 goals and provided 31 assists, while also winning Bundesliga Player of the Season. He then led the 2026 World Cup in assists with seven.

That combination makes Olise one of the most exciting names outside the obvious favorites. He may not win the award this time, but his presence inside the top 10 demonstrates how quickly his reputation has grown.

Erling Haaland

Haaland remains one of the most productive forwards in world football. He scored 38 goals for Manchester City during the 2025-26 campaign and helped the club win the FA Cup and League Cup. He then produced an impressive World Cup for Norway, who reached the quarter-finals. His individual numbers remain elite. The issue is that Kane, Mbappé and Yamal have stronger combinations of trophies and international success. Haaland is therefore a serious contender, but not the favorite.

Jude Bellingham

Bellingham’s World Cup performances significantly improved his Ballon d’Or case. The midfielder had an injury-disrupted and trophyless season with Real Madrid, limiting his chances of winning the award.

However, his performances for England showed why he remains one of the world’s elite midfielders. His path to a higher ranking now depends heavily on how strongly he starts the 2026-27 campaign.

Vinícius Júnior

Vinícius remains a major Ballon d’Or name because of his individual quality and history at Real Madrid. He scored 22 goals in 36 appearances during the 2025-26 season, but Madrid’s lack of a major trophy weakened his case.

Brazil also failed to make a deep enough World Cup run to give Vinícius the international boost enjoyed by Yamal, Rodri or Kane. A spectacular start to the new club season could change that quickly.

Lautaro Martínez

Lautaro Martínez remains one of the most complete strikers in European football.

His case is built around:

  • Goals
  • Link-up play
  • Pressing
  • Big-game experience
  • Consistency
  • International pedigree

However, he lacks the overwhelming statistical or tournament narrative of the top five.

That makes him a realistic top-20 candidate rather than a leading favorite.

Achraf Hakimi

Hakimi has become one of the most influential full-backs in world football. His attacking contribution, defensive work and importance to PSG make him a serious candidate. The difficulty is historical: defenders and full-backs face a much tougher path to winning the Ballon d’Or than forwards.

Still, a Champions League-winning season keeps him in the conversation.

Vitinha

Vitinha deserves attention for his role in PSG’s midfield.

His ability to control tempo, progress the ball and contribute to possession-based football has made him an important part of PSG’s European success. His Ballon d’Or chances remain limited compared with the headline candidates, but midfielders can benefit when their influence is reflected in major trophies.

Declan Rice

Declan Rice has a strong case based on consistency, leadership and domestic success. His role in Arsenal’s Premier League-winning campaign and his performances for England make him one of the more credible midfield candidates.

The biggest issue is that his individual numbers and international trophy résumé do not quite match the leading contenders.

Marquinhos

Marquinhos continues to be a crucial defensive figure for PSG and Brazil. His experience and leadership are major assets, particularly in a PSG team that has enjoyed sustained Champions League success. However, the competition is extremely strong, making a top-five finish difficult.

Nuno Mendes

Nuno Mendes is another PSG player whose trophy collection strengthens his candidacy. His athleticism, attacking contribution and defensive ability make him one of Europe’s leading modern full-backs. Like Hakimi and Marquinhos, however, he faces the traditional disadvantage of playing in a position that receives less Ballon d’Or recognition.

Bruno Fernandes

Bruno Fernandes completes our top 20. The Portugal international continues to be one of the most productive creative midfielders in football. His ability to create chances, score goals and influence matches keeps him relevant in the Ballon d’Or discussion.

However, his trophy situation and the extraordinary campaigns of the leading contenders make a top-five finish unlikely.

Ballon d’Or 2026 Ranking: Quick Comparison

PlayerRankMain StrengthBiggest AdvantageBiggest Concern
Harry Kane1Goalscoring61 club goals + trophiesWorld Cup not won
Lamine Yamal2CreativityWorld Cup + domestic successLower goal total than Kane
Kylian Mbappé3GoalsWorld Cup Golden BootTrophyless club season
Rodri4Midfield controlWorld Cup Golden BallLess dominant club season
Kvaratskhelia5Big-game impactChampions LeagueNo World Cup
Messi6Creativity8 World Cup goalsLost final
Fabián Ruiz7Midfield influenceUCL + World CupLower individual numbers
Cubarsí8DefendingWorld Cup + La LigaDefender disadvantage
Dembélé9Big gamesUCL + Ligue 1France missed World Cup title
Olise10Creativity31 assistsNo major international trophy

Who Is the Favorite to Win the Ballon d’Or 2026?

If the award were decided purely on goals, the conversation would be much simpler. But the Ballon d’Or is not a Golden Boot. The leading contenders have different arguments.

  • Harry Kane has the strongest combination of individual production and club success.
  • Lamine Yamal has arguably the strongest combination of youth, individual brilliance and international achievement.
  • Kylian Mbappé has the strongest pure goalscoring argument.
  • Rodri has one of the strongest tournament narratives after winning the World Cup Golden Ball.

That is why the 2026 race is so difficult to predict. Recent betting markets have also placed Kane ahead of Yamal and Mbappé, although betting odds should not be confused with the official voting process.

Biggest Ballon d’Or 2026 Contenders

ContenderBiggest StrengthBiggest Concern
Harry KaneExtraordinary goalscoringDid not win World Cup
Lamine YamalWorld Cup + Barcelona successStatistical gap to Kane
Kylian MbappéWorld Cup Golden BootTrophyless season
RodriWorld Cup Golden BallDomestic output
KvaratskheliaChampions League impactNo World Cup
MessiWorld Cup performanceLost final and MLS factor
DembéléEuropean successFrance fell short
OliseGoals + assistsNo Champions League/World Cup title

How Are the Ballon d’Or 2026 Power Rankings Decided?

There is no official formula for these editorial power rankings.

Instead, the ranking considers several factors.

1. Individual Performance

A player must have produced a genuinely elite individual season.

2. Goals and Assists

For attacking players, goal contributions remain an important part of the argument.

3. Major Trophies

Winning major competitions can dramatically strengthen a player’s candidacy.

4. Champions League Performance

Performing against Europe’s strongest clubs carries significant weight.

5. Domestic League Performance

Consistency over an entire domestic campaign matters.

6. International Football

The 2026 World Cup has been especially important this year.

7. Big-Game Performances

Goals or outstanding performances in finals and knockout matches can separate candidates.

8. Consistency

One spectacular tournament cannot completely erase an otherwise poor season.

9. Overall Influence

Midfielders and defenders need to be judged differently from forwards.

10. Individual Recognition

Awards such as tournament best-player honors can strengthen a candidate’s case.

These factors are used for the editorial rankings and should not be confused with the official voting process.

Does Winning the Champions League Matter for the Ballon d’Or?

Absolutely. The Champions League provides players with the opportunity to perform against Europe’s strongest opposition.

A forward who scores in the quarter-final, semi-final and final can create a powerful Ballon d’Or narrative. The same applies to midfielders and defenders who dominate important knockout matches. PSG’s success is particularly relevant to the 2026 race because several of its players are among the nominees.

However, winning the Champions League does not automatically guarantee the Ballon d’Or. Individual performance still matters.

How Important Is the 2026 World Cup to the Ballon d’Or Race?

  1. The World Cup is arguably the single biggest variable in this year’s race.
  2. Players such as Yamal, Rodri, Kane, Mbappé, Messi, Haaland and Bellingham had an opportunity to change their Ballon d’Or cases on the biggest international stage.
  3. Spain’s World Cup triumph has strengthened the cases of Yamal, Rodri, Cubarsí and Fabián Ruiz.
  4. Argentina reaching the final helped Messi.
  5. Mbappé’s Golden Boot strengthened his individual case despite France falling short.
  6. Kane’s six goals kept him firmly in contention.
  7. That is why the World Cup has made the 2026 Ballon d’Or race so fascinating.

Ballon d’Or 2026: Club Performance vs International Performance

FactorImportanceWhy It Matters
World CupVery HighBiggest international stage
Champions LeagueVery HighElite club competition
Domestic leagueHighMeasures consistency
Major trophiesHighDemonstrates team success
Goals and assistsHighMeasures individual output
Big-game performancesVery HighShows influence under pressure
ConsistencyVery HighSeparates great seasons from short peaks
Individual awardsMedium-HighSupports the overall narrative

Five Dark Horses Who Could Storm the Ballon d’Or 2026 Race

Michael Olise

Olise’s combination of assists, goals and World Cup influence makes him one of the most interesting outsiders.

Fabián Ruiz

Winning both the Champions League and World Cup puts Ruiz in an unusual position.

Pau Cubarsí

A World Cup-winning defender can generate a very different Ballon d’Or narrative.

Achraf Hakimi

Another Champions League-winning defender with significant attacking influence.

Vitinha

His importance to PSG’s midfield makes him a player worth monitoring.

Players Who Could Rise in the Rankings

PlayerCurrent PositionWhat Could Move Them Higher?
Michael Olise10Strong start to 2026-27
Erling Haaland11Another explosive scoring run
Jude Bellingham12Major performances for Madrid
Vinícius Jr.13Real Madrid trophy success
Vitinha16Continued PSG dominance

The most important factor now is timing.

Although the main 2025-26 campaign has been completed, the final weeks before the ceremony can influence public perception and the wider narrative around the candidates.

Players Who Could Fall in the Rankings

The opposite is also possible.

A player can begin the final stretch as a favorite and lose momentum because of:

  • Poor performances
  • Injuries
  • Lack of playing time
  • Early elimination
  • Declining form
  • Another candidate producing spectacular performances

This is particularly relevant for players whose cases depend heavily on individual statistics.

Ballon d’Or 2026 Power Rankings vs Official Ballon d’Or Ranking

Power RankingsOfficial Ballon d’Or Ranking
Editorial assessmentOfficial voting result
Can change frequentlyAnnounced after voting
Uses current performancesBased on the official voting period
Designed to compare candidatesDetermines award positions
Not an official France Football rankingOfficial result

The distinction is important.

A power ranking tells readers who appears strongest right now.

It does not mean the player will necessarily finish in that position when the official results are announced.

Ballon d’Or Previous Winners

The recent history of the award provides useful context for the 2026 race.

YearWinnerClub at Award Time
2025Ousmane DembéléParis Saint-Germain
2024RodriManchester City
2023Lionel MessiInter Miami
2022Karim BenzemaReal Madrid
2021Lionel MessiParis Saint-Germain

France Football’s official Ballon d’Or records confirm Dembélé as the 2025 winner, Rodri in 2024, Messi in 2023, Benzema in 2022 and Messi in 2021.

The recent list also highlights how difficult it is to predict the award purely from goals. Messi’s 2023 victory, for example, was heavily influenced by Argentina’s World Cup triumph. That history makes the international achievements of Yamal and Rodri particularly important in 2026.

When Is the Ballon d’Or 2026 Ceremony?

The 2026 Ballon d’Or ceremony is scheduled for October 26 at the London Palladium. It will be the first time the ceremony is held in London, adding a unique element to this year’s event. The 2026 edition also marks the award’s 70th anniversary. The ceremony’s London setting is especially interesting because England’s Harry Kane is one of the leading contenders.

Final Verdict

The 2026 Ballon d’Or race is one of the most difficult to call in recent memory. Harry Kane currently has our No. 1 spot. His 61 goals for Bayern, domestic trophies and six World Cup goals create an extremely strong statistical and team-success combination.

But Lamine Yamal is the biggest threat. Yamal has something Kane cannot claim: a World Cup winner’s medal. He also contributed heavily to Barcelona’s domestic success and has continued to establish himself as one of the most influential young players in world football.

Then there is Kylian Mbappé, whose individual numbers may be the best argument against both of them. His World Cup Golden Boot and 42-goal club season make him impossible to ignore.

Rodri is the wild card at the very top of the rankings. Winning the World Cup Golden Ball gives the 2024 Ballon d’Or winner a powerful narrative for a second individual crown.

Behind them, Kvaratskhelia, Messi, Fabián Ruiz, Cubarsí, Dembélé and Olise all have legitimate cases.

Current Top Five

RankPlayerOverall Ballon d’Or Case
1Harry KaneStrongest statistical + trophy combination
2Lamine YamalWorld Cup winner with elite individual impact
3Kylian MbappéOutstanding goalscoring and World Cup Golden Boot
4RodriWorld Cup Golden Ball and major influence
5Khvicha KvaratskheliaChampions League excellence

Ultimately, the 2026 Ballon d’Or may come down to a classic question: individual brilliance or collective success? Kane has the numbers. Yamal has the World Cup and domestic success. Mbappé has the goals. Rodri has the World Cup’s biggest individual honor. That is precisely why the final result remains so difficult to predict.

Current prediction: Harry Kane remains the favorite, but Lamine Yamal is the player most capable of taking the award away from him.

FAQs

Q1. Who is the favorite to win the Ballon d’Or 2026?

Harry Kane is currently one of the leading favorites after scoring 61 goals for Bayern Munich and winning domestic trophies. Lamine Yamal, Kylian Mbappé and Rodri are among his strongest challengers.

Q2. Who is leading the Ballon d’Or Power Rankings 2026?

Our current ranking places Harry Kane at No. 1, followed by Lamine Yamal, Kylian Mbappé and Rodri.

Q3. Who are the top 10 Ballon d’Or contenders in 2026?

Our top 10 are Harry Kane, Lamine Yamal, Kylian Mbappé, Rodri, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, Lionel Messi, Fabián Ruiz, Pau Cubarsí, Ousmane Dembélé and Michael Olise.

Q4. Can Lamine Yamal win the Ballon d’Or 2026?

Yes. Yamal has a major case after helping Spain win the World Cup and continuing to produce excellent numbers for Barcelona. He also finished second in the 2025 Ballon d’Or voting.

Q5. Can Kylian Mbappé win the Ballon d’Or in 2026?

Yes. Mbappé’s 42 club goals and World Cup Golden Boot give him an elite individual case. His biggest disadvantage is the lack of major team trophies during the campaign.

Q6. Does the 2026 World Cup affect the Ballon d’Or?

Yes. The World Cup has significantly affected the 2026 race because players such as Yamal, Rodri, Mbappé, Kane and Messi produced major performances during the tournament.

Q7. Does winning the Champions League guarantee the Ballon d’Or?

No. Champions League success is important, but the Ballon d’Or also considers individual performance and other achievements.

Q8. When will the Ballon d’Or 2026 winner be announced?

The ceremony is scheduled for October 26, 2026, at the London Palladium.

Q9. How are Ballon d’Or votes decided?

The official award is decided through voting by an international panel of journalists. The process considers individual and team performances along with other aspects of a player’s season.

Q10. Who are the dark horses for the Ballon d’Or 2026?

Michael Olise, Fabián Ruiz, Pau Cubarsí, Achraf Hakimi and Vitinha are among the players who could surprise in the final standings.

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